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Manchester Monitor
The Manchester Monitor is a dashboard of Greater Manchester specific data and indicators designed to provide a monthly analytical snapshot of the economic wellbeing of the city region.
MAY 2013:
Manchester Monitor
Monitor Focus Business People Place Housing Crime
Greater Manchester’s reoffending challenge
Levels of crime have fallen significantly in Greater Manchester (GM) in recent years, with total crime falling by 11.7% in the last 12 months alone. New data on reoffending from the Ministry of Justice (MOJ) however show that, despite an overall fall in crime, proven reoffending rates in GM have been broadly static over the six years from January 2005 (28.7%) to June 2011 (28%) and have remained higher than the national rate throughout this period. Juvenile reoffending is a particular concern, with the latest data showing that between July 2010 and June 2011 the proportion of juveniles reoffending in GM stood at 38.9% (cf. 36% nationally), a rise from 35.9% in the previous year (cf. 34.1% nationally). Tackling recidivism has been prioritised by the new GM Police and Crime Plan as part of its overall ambition to create safer communities in GM.
Turning to the overall state of the national economy, the UK narrowly avoided an unprecedented third recession last month. The latest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that the economy grew by a better than expected 0.3% in the first quarter of 2013, and the latest analysis from NIESR suggests that revisions to early ONS data mean that the economy may not actually have experienced a double-dip recession at all. However, whilst the latest figures are encouraging, it is clear that the economy remains stagnant.
The latest labour market data show that around 85,500 people were claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance (JSA) in GM in March 2013 – a decline of just over 1,000 (1.3%) when compared with the figure for February 2013 of 86,600. The North West (1.7%) and Great Britain (1.8%) also saw monthly decreases. As a proportion of the resident working-age population, 4.9% of people in GM were claiming JSA in March, above the North West (4.4%) and Great Britain (3.8%) rates.
The Q1 2013 GM Chamber of Commerce Quarterly Economic Survey reveals a mixed picture of the GM
economy, reflecting the stagnation of the economy in 2012. Despite manufacturing export orders bouncing back, weaker demand across the service sector and a contraction for manufacturing in the domestic market suggests that the economy remains in a fragile state and that more needs to be done to increase domestic demand if the economy is to recover.
Hotel data show that occupancy levels in both the city centre and GM as a whole in March 2013 continued
their strong start to the year to produce the strongest first quarter since 2007. A recent survey by Hotels.com has also found that Manchester is the third most visited city by overseas travellers in the UK, after London and Edinburgh, providing a further boost to the city’s hotel industry. Adding to the good news, passenger numbers at Manchester Airport saw a tenth consecutive month of year-on-year growth in February 2013, reaching 1.2million. This growth looks sets to continue well into 2013 with the launch of new routes, including to Moscow and St Petersburg. Manchester Airports Group has also confirmed that it is in detailed discussions over securing direct flights to China, further strengthening the conurbation’s links with this key market following the launch of the Manchester–China Forum by the Chancellor on 26 April.
Land Registry data show that there are wide variations in house prices across GM, with only three districts having house prices above the national average (£161,793) whilst prices in the remaining seven districts are all significantly below this figure. The highest average house prices are found in Trafford (£183,000) whilst the lowest house prices are found in Oldham (£75,559). The GM average in March 2013 was £101,897, a fall of 0.5% (£488) since February 2013 and 3% (£3,161) less than 12 months previously.
DOWNLOAD THE BACKGROUND DATA
- GM Chamber Data (63kb)
- Jobseeker’s Allowance claimants (809kb)
- Jobseeker’s Allowance flows (71kb)
- Worklessness (29kb)
- Airport activity (121kb)
- House prices (1218kb)
DISCLAIMER
All data contained in the Manchester Monitor, and all Monitor-related reports, has been compiled by New Economy from a range of sources and is published for general information purposes only. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the data and other material contained in this report, the Commission for the New Economy does not accept any liability (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) to any person for any loss or damage suffered as a result of any errors or omissions. The information, opinions and forecasts set out in the report should not be relied upon to replace professional advice on specific matters, and no responsibility for loss occasioned to any person acting, or refraining from acting, as a result of any material in this publication can be accepted by the Commission for the New Economy.
Data GM
DataGM has been created by public sector organisations in Greater Manchester, to release and bring together in one place, as much of the data they hold as possible. Developed in partnership, DataGM is coordinated by Trafford Council in partnership with FutureEverything which seeks out and shares new art forms and technologies in creative ways.
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